Snowmageddon Can Still Kill Health Care Reform

February 26, 2010, 1:51 pm

Washington’s “Snowmageddon” may have already passed. But the storm still has the power to kill Washington’s health care reform talks, perhaps for good.
Take a look at where the health care reform process is now. Despite high hopes, Thursday’s much anticipated summit meeting did not seem to move the needle much. And yet, even with cannons to the left of them and cannons to the right of them, Democratic leadership vowed to charge forward.
“If nothing comes of this we’re going to press forward,” The Times quoted Senator Richard J. Durbin of Illinois, the No. 2 Democrat, as saying. “We just can’t quit. This is a once-in-a-political-lifetime opportunity to deal with a health care system that is really unsustainable.”
The implication is that Democrats regard the impasse as an extension; health care reform is, after all, a long-term question, and not one that had to be resolved by Thursday, per se. But how long will this “once-in-a-political-lifetime opportunity” to address the long-term issue last?
My guess: The deadline is probably one week from today, when the February jobs report comes out.
That report will probably be very, very ugly. I have seen some forecasters project job losses as high as 100,000.
The main culprit behind the expected jobs plunge is the blizzard, which closed businesses and kept people from going to work or even seeking work for days and sometimes weeks. These work stoppages probably occurred precisely when the government was collecting data for its February jobs report.
The Labor Department is of course very aware that the blizzard will distort its numbers. In fact, labor officials will probably try to isolate the effects of the storm from all the other data so economists can get a better sense of what’s going on in the economy. Offcials did this after previous major weather events like the 1996 East Coast blizzard and Hurricane Katrina.
But even though everyone will know that “snowmageddon,” and not President Obama, is really at fault for the poor report, the headline number may still be shocking enough to sufficiently discredit economic policy of Democrats. And all other economic policy debates, including health care which will be set against this backdrop of the Democrats’ failed stewardship of the economy.
Worsening economic dysfunction, at least when it comes to Main Streeters, sends a powerful message to Americans who believe that Democrats want a “government takeover of 17 percent of the United States economy.”
After all, if you were a Republican hell-bent on derailing health care reform, that's what I'd do.